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   MAWRED - Modeling and Monitoring Agriculture and Water Resources Development
www.mawredh2o.org

SOUND WATER MANAGEMENT STARTS WITH GOOD DATA PROVISION
Groundwater resources are under increasing presssure in the MENA region and declining levels in many aquifers highlight the need for careful future management. Given the growing need for water in many economic sectors, decision-makers need to understand current resource limits and the impacts of future conditions, as they develop policies balancing demands. The provision of timely data is an important input into this process and yet in many MENA countries such information is limited.



HARNESSING LEADING EDGE MODELING AND SPACE SCIENCE DEVELOPMENTS
Regional- and country-scale modeling of groundwater and surface resources is being developed under a partnership between ICBA and NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center. This program harnesses cutting edge space-based earth observations and modeling and represents a new era in hydrological modeling and water resources assessment in the region. The model, named MENA-LDAS (Middle East North Africa - Land Data Assimilation System) and running at the International Center for Biosaline Agriculture in Dubai, is producing not only current observations of water amounts, but is also generating future values under the latest climate change projections.
With agriculture continuing to use the major share of water in most countries, an important component of this program is the linked development of land-use/crop maps that are coupled with water in an irrigation model. This supports an assessment of the impact of existing and future water use in irrigation so facilitating collaborative initiatives in both water and agriculture policy.

Land Data Assimilation Systems -LDAS
LDAs are computer models that use various mathematical equations to represent natural processes. They differ from traditional models in that sophisticated methods are applied to constrain predictions using observed data - from field measurements or satellite sensors - so increasing their accuracy.

Outputs from the modeling will include regional water balances, groundwater and surface water levels, climate change predictions of water availability, and drought monitoring. While at the national scale, data outputs will include ground- and surface-water resources levels, land-use and crop-type information as well as values for irrigation use.
 
DEVELOPING A REGIONAL HUB WATER, AGRICULTURE AND CLIMATE CHANGE MODELING
As well as developing new knowledge, the MENA-LDAS program also focuses on developing communities of practice in this area. The team is working closely with ministries responsible for water and for agriculture as well as with remote sensing centers to bring both new data and modeling knowledge to the specific problems of individual countries. Researchers and policy developers are able to spend time at the ICBA modeling center to develop their capacity and to focus on modeling particular areas of relevance.

Inputs of MENA-LDAS
 


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